Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Tres de Marzo
Second Half
4 - 3
Expected Goals
5.24 (league 1.51) 0.94 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.2% 3.4% 1.7%
best score tips
5 - 0
6.8%
4 - 0
6.5%
5 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Acatlan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTecosAcatlan
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack80%40%
Defense47%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tecos Acatlan
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins75%57%67%14%13%13%
Draws13%0%7%14%0%7%
Loses13%43%27%71%88%80%

Form: Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWL • Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Tecos Acatlan
HATHAT
GF total1911309918
GF avg2.41.62.01.31.11.2
GA total81018152641
GA avg1.01.41.22.13.32.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTecosAcatlan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%73%67%93%
1.567%27%33%87%
2.533%13%13%60%
3.57%7%7%20%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTecosAcatlan
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricTecosAcatlan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTecosAcatlan
Wins51
Draws11
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-03-4
Biggest losses2-43-10-35-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricTecosAcatlan
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total71.3%28.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tecos and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Bet365
Draw7.20 @ Superbet
Away10.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Superbet
No3.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 5.24 (league 1.51), Acatlan = 0.94 (league 1.17)

Acatlan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 3.4% · Away win 1.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1