Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Tres de Marzo
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.54) 1.65 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 24.5% 51.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 7.0% 11.5% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTecosCimarrones
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense38%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.419 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tecos Cimarrones
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins78%63%71%67%50%59%
Draws11%0%6%22%38%29%
Loses11%38%24%11%13%12%

Form: Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWLWW • Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Tecos Cimarrones
HATHAT
GF total231639191332
GF avg2.62.02.32.11.61.9
GA total1112237512
GA avg1.21.51.40.80.60.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTecosCimarrones
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%76%82%53%
1.571%35%35%18%
2.541%18%35%0%
3.518%6%18%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTecosCimarrones
HATHAT
Clean sheets314448
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricTecosCimarrones
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricTecosCimarrones
Wins54
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-57-20-4
Biggest losses2-43-11-21-0
Goals For4574
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricTecosCimarrones
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Cimarrones and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.40 @ 1xBet
Draw7.00 @ Bet365
Away2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.57.10 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No3.98 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 1.02 (league 1.54), Cimarrones = 1.65 (league 1.16)

Cimarrones
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tecos 0 7.0% 11.5% 9.5% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1