Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.53) 3.67 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 11.2% 62.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
6.7%
1 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 0.6% 2.4% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.1% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de FresnilloTecos
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack64%100%
Defense64%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tecos
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%33%39%80%63%72%
Draws0%33%17%10%0%6%
Loses56%33%44%10%38%22%

Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWWLWWLDD • Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tecos
HATHAT
GF total131124251641
GF avg1.41.21.32.52.02.3
GA total191130121224
GA avg2.11.21.71.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de FresnilloTecos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%94%78%
1.539%50%72%33%
2.517%28%39%17%
3.50%11%17%6%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de FresnilloTecos
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricMineros de FresnilloTecos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMineros de FresnilloTecos
Wins25
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-12-5
Biggest losses1-63-02-43-1
Goals For3345
Goals Against6343

Model comparison

MetricMineros de FresnilloTecos
Form40%60%
Att30%70%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tecos and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.22 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Unibet
No3.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 1.37 (league 1.53), Tecos = 3.67 (league 1.14)

Tecos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 0.6% 2.4% 4.3% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.1% 5.0% 4.6% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 62.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1