Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 21:30 •
Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.54)
2.57 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.8% | 18.1% | 55.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.2%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UA Zacatecas | 0 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 18% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 38% | 29% | 50% | 25% | 39% |
| Draws | 22% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| Loses | 56% | 50% | 53% | 30% | 63% | 44% |
Form: UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDLWDW • Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWWLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 21 | 9 | 30 | 13 | 17 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 65% | 78% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 53% | 50% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 29% | 28% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 24% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-1 | 4-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Guerreros
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UA Zacatecas = 1.50 (league 1.54), Guerreros = 2.57 (league 1.17)
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UA Zacatecas | 0 | 1.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 2.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.8% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 55.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1