Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Ensenada
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.53)
2.21 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4% | 16.0% | 75.0% |
best score tips
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 3
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 6.8% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Attack | 29% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 19 | 3.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 11% | 6% |
| Loses | 56% | 56% | 56% | 33% | 22% | 28% |
Form: Ensenada: LWWDWWLLWLLWDLLLLL • Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 67% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 39% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ensenada | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 10% | 90% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.5% |
Advice: Winner : Tigres de Alica
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ensenada = 0.47 (league 1.53), Tigres de Alica = 2.21 (league 1.16)
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ensenada | 0 | 6.8% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 75.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1