Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
3.64 (league 1.54)
0.90 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.6%
4 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Acatlan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 54% | 100% |
| Defense | 77% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 53% | 33% | 10% | 21% |
| Draws | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 37% | 56% | 90% | 74% |
Leones NegrosDLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWL
AcatlanDLLLLLLWLLLLLLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 13 | 27 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 13 | 20 | 19 | 35 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Acatlan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 74% | 74% | 95% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 21% | 42% | 89% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 5% | 26% | 58% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 11% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Acatlan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 81% | 19% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.5% | 42.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.40 @ Bet365
Draw5.04 @ Pinnacle
Away6.75 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ 10Bet
No2.45 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…