Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.53) 2.89 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 12.9% 71.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.1%
0 - 3
9.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres de Alica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 2.4% 7.0% 10.1% 9.7% 7.0% 4.0%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack40%73%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tigres de Alica
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%30%40%60%70%65%
Draws0%30%15%10%10%10%
Loses50%40%45%30%20%25%

Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDWL • Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Mineros de Fresnillo Tigres de Alica
HATHAT
GF total161127201636
GF avg1.61.11.42.01.61.8
GA total21133410818
GA avg2.11.31.71.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%70%90%70%
1.540%55%45%20%
2.520%25%20%0%
3.50%10%15%0%
4.50%5%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
Wins210
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-01-4
Biggest losses1-63-01-22-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against6322

Model comparison

MetricMineros de FresnilloTigres de Alica
Form28%72%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total30.8%69.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres de Alica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 10Bet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 0.83 (league 1.53), Tigres de Alica = 2.89 (league 1.16)

Tigres de Alica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mineros de Fresnillo 0 2.4% 7.0% 10.1% 9.7% 7.0% 4.0%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 71.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1