Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.53)
3.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 13.5% | 63.0% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 4
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Tecos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UA Zacatecas | 0 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 27% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 27% | 27% | 27% | 67% | 50% | 59% |
| Draws | 27% | 9% | 18% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 45% | 64% | 55% | 8% | 50% | 27% |
Form: UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDLWDWWLLLD • Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWLWWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 23 | 18 | 41 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UA Zacatecas | Tecos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 91% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 55% | 64% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 36% | 32% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 18% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UA Zacatecas | Tecos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tecos
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UA Zacatecas = 1.36 (league 1.53), Tecos = 3.23 (league 1.17)
| Tecos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UA Zacatecas | 0 | 1.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 63.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1