Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 21:30 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.53)
1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.3% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 1
7.6%
1 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 54% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 35% | 82% | 33% | 60% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 30% | 60% | 45% | 18% | 67% | 40% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWWLLWDDLD • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLLWWWLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 12 | 32 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 90% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 35% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tritons Vallarta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 2.49 (league 1.53), Tritons Vallarta = 1.25 (league 1.14)
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 17.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1