Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 22:00 •
Unidad Deportiva Chapultepec
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.54)
1.03 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.7% | 20.4% | 17.8% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.6%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 50% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 33% | 85% | 27% | 58% |
| Draws | 25% | 17% | 21% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
| Loses | 25% | 67% | 46% | 15% | 64% | 38% |
Form: Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWWLLWDDLDLDLW • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLLWWWLLWLWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 7 | 19 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 88% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 38% | 42% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 25% | 13% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 4-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guerreros | Tritons Vallarta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 43.4% | 56.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tritons Vallarta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guerreros = 2.09 (league 1.54), Tritons Vallarta = 1.03 (league 1.16)
| Tritons Vallarta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guerreros | 0 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.7% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 17.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1