Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.53)
0.63 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.9% | 21.1% | 11.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 31% |
| Defense | 88% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 91% | 80% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Draws | 11% | 0% | 5% | 20% | 11% | 16% |
| Loses | 22% | 9% | 15% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
Form: Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWW • UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDLWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 34 | 54 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | UA Zacatecas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 55% | 53% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 10% | 26% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 5% | 21% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 35% | 0% | 5% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | UA Zacatecas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Durango or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Durango = 1.87 (league 1.53), UA Zacatecas = 0.63 (league 1.14)
| UA Zacatecas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 11.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1