Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.54)
0.91 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.7% | 32.9% | 34.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.6%
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cimarrones | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 16.6% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 86% | 43% |
| Defense | 79% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 70% | 45% | 57% | 73% | 40% | 57% |
| Draws | 10% | 9% | 10% | 18% | 40% | 29% |
| Loses | 20% | 45% | 33% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
Leones NegrosDLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWW
CimarronesWWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 22 | 15 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Cimarrones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 86% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 19% | 33% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 5% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 7-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Cimarrones |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.32 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…