Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Tres de Marzo
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.54)
1.55 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1% | 24.5% | 40.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tecos | 0 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 50% | 62% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Draws | 18% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 9% | 50% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
Form: Tecos: WLWDWWWWWLWLWWLWWWLDL • Tigres de Alica: DWWLWLLLLWWWWWWWWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 18 | 44 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tecos | Tigres de Alica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 81% | 91% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 45% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 19% | 23% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tecos | Tigres de Alica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres de Alica
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tecos = 1.40 (league 1.54), Tigres de Alica = 1.55 (league 1.16)
| Tigres de Alica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tecos | 0 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 40.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1