Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Héroe de Nacozari
Expected Goals
2.74 (league 1.53)
0.36 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.7% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Colima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cimarrones | 0 | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 35% | 41% |
| Defense | 71% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 73% | 36% | 55% | 18% | 10% | 14% |
| Draws | 18% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 9% | 27% | 18% | 73% | 80% | 76% |
Form: Cimarrones: WWWDLWWLWDDDWWWWDLWDWL • Colima: LLLLLWWLLDLLLLLDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 16 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cimarrones | Colima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 55% | 48% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 23% | 24% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 19% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 5% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-2 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cimarrones | Colima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.6% | 35.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Cimarrones or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cimarrones = 2.74 (league 1.53), Colima = 0.36 (league 1.16)
| Colima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cimarrones | 0 | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.4% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 3.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1