Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros

Liga Premier Serie A — Mexico

Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:00 • Unidad Deportiva Minera Fresnillo

Not Started

Mineros de Fresnillo

—

Leones Negros

Expected Goals

1.36 (league 1.53) 2.59 (league 1.16)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
18.1%	17.6%	59.2%

best score tips

1 - 2

8.8%

1 - 3

7.6%

1 - 1

6.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Leones Negros
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mineros de Fresnillo	0	1.9%	5.0%	6.5%	5.6%	3.6%	1.9%
	1	2.6%	6.8%	8.8%	7.6%	4.9%	2.6%
	2	1.8%	4.6%	6.0%	5.1%	3.3%	1.7%
	3	0.8%	2.1%	2.7%	2.3%	1.5%	0.8%
	4	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Leones Negros
Played	5	5
Form	47%	80%
Attack	36%	55%
Defense	59%	82%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%

FT probability

2.5+

61%

FT probability

3.5+

43%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo			Leones Negros
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	11	22	11	11	22
Wins	55%	27%	41%	73%	45%	59%
Draws	0%	27%	14%	9%	9%	9%
Loses	45%	45%	45%	18%	45%	32%

Form: Mineros de Fresnillo: DLLLWLLWWLWWLWWLDDWLWL • Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo			Leones Negros
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	13	31	19	17	36
GF avg	1.6	1.2	1.4	1.7	1.5	1.6
GA total	22	16	38	8	14	22
GA avg	2.0	1.5	1.7	0.7	1.3	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Mineros de Fresnillo		Leones Negros
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	77%	73%	68%	73%
1.5	45%	55%	55%	18%
2.5	18%	27%	27%	5%
3.5	0%	9%	9%	5%
4.5	0%	5%	5%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo			Leones Negros
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	3	6	4	2	6
Failed to score	1	4	5	2	5	7

Penalties

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Leones Negros
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Leones Negros
Wins	2	3
Draws	2	1
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-3	3-0	1-4
Biggest losses	1-6	3-0	0-2	2-1
Goals For	3	3	3	5
Goals Against	6	3	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Leones Negros
Form	37%	63%
Att	40%	60%
Def	31%	69%
Poisson Distribution	34%	66%
H2h	40%	60%
Goals	38%	63%
Total	36.7%	63.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Mineros de Fresnillo vs Leones Negros

Expected goals (λ): Mineros de Fresnillo = 1.36 (league 1.53), Leones Negros = 2.59 (league 1.16)

		Leones Negros
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Mineros de Fresnillo	0	1.9%	5.0%	6.5%	5.6%	3.6%	1.9%
	1	2.6%	6.8%	8.8%	7.6%	4.9%	2.6%
	2	1.8%	4.6%	6.0%	5.1%	3.3%	1.7%
	3	0.8%	2.1%	2.7%	2.3%	1.5%	0.8%
	4	0.3%	0.7%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	0.3%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 59.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Leones Negros
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0