Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.54) 2.08 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 21.1% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
UA Zacatecas 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack43%43%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UA Zacatecas Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Played10112112921
Wins30%27%29%83%33%62%
Draws20%9%14%0%0%0%
Loses50%64%57%17%67%38%

Form: UA Zacatecas: LLDWWLLLLLWLDLWDWWLLL • Tritons Vallarta: WWWWLLWWLWLLWWWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric UA Zacatecas Tritons Vallarta
HATHAT
GF total13922201030
GF avg1.30.81.01.71.11.4
GA total22184071724
GA avg2.21.61.90.61.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%71%76%48%
1.529%57%43%43%
2.519%38%14%19%
3.55%19%5%5%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
HATHAT
Clean sheets3369211
Failed to score4610145

Penalties

MetricUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
Wins24
Draws10
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-45-00-2
Biggest losses0-53-00-34-1
Goals For3453
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricUA ZacatecasTritons Vallarta
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : UA Zacatecas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UA Zacatecas = 1.60 (league 1.54), Tritons Vallarta = 2.08 (league 1.16)

Tritons Vallarta
0 1 2 3 4 5
UA Zacatecas 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.7% 6.1% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.7% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 47.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1