Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.54)
5.64 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6% | 1.6% | 48.4% |
best score tips
0 - 5
9.4%
0 - 4
8.4%
0 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acatlan | 0 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 23% | 91% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 33% | 8% | 19% | 70% | 91% | 81% |
| Draws | 11% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 56% | 92% | 76% | 20% | 9% | 14% |
Form: Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLLLLLWLWLWLL • Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 17 | 33 | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 43 | 62 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Acatlan | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 95% | 90% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 90% | 71% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 62% | 48% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 29% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 19% | 24% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 75.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 25.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 3-4 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Acatlan | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 25.2% | 74.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Durango and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Acatlan = 0.58 (league 1.54), Durango = 5.64 (league 1.15)
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acatlan | 0 | 0.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 48.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1