Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Francisco Zarco
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.54)
0.83 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
9.7%
2 - 0
9.3%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Ensenada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Durango | 0 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 76% | 59% |
| Defense | 94% | 35% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 70% | 92% | 82% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
| Draws | 10% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
| Loses | 20% | 8% | 14% | 58% | 55% | 57% |
DurangoWWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWWWW
EnsenadaLWWDWWLLWLLWDLLLLLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 37 | 60 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 23 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Durango | Ensenada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 9% | 30% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 5% | 13% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 0% | 4% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 0% | 4% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 6-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 2-5 | 7-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Durango | Ensenada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 92% | 8% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.09 @ 10Bet
Draw10.00 @ Betfair
Away26.00 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.11 @ Betfair
Under 2.55.60 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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