NPFL — Nigeria
Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 15:00 • Sani Abacha Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.43) 0.59 (league 0.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.9% 47.4% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.9%
0 - 1
23.1%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kano Pillars 0 38.9% 23.1% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKano PillarsKwara United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack43%57%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

34%
FT probability

2.5+

24%
FT probability

3.5+

17%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kano Pillars Kwara United
HATHAT
Played235426
Wins50%0%20%50%0%33%
Draws50%0%20%25%50%33%
Loses0%100%60%25%50%33%

Form: Kano Pillars: LDLWL • Kwara United: DLWDWL

League goals

Metric Kano Pillars Kwara United
HATHAT
GF total213404
GF avg1.00.30.61.00.00.7
GA total145213
GA avg0.51.31.00.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKano PillarsKwara United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%33%50%
1.50%20%33%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKano PillarsKwara United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricKano PillarsKwara United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKano PillarsKwara United
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-0—
Biggest losses—2-10-11-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricKano PillarsKwara United
Form36%64%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total41.8%58.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kwara United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 10Bet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away6.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kano Pillars = 0.35 (league 1.43), Kwara United = 0.59 (league 0.59)

Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kano Pillars 0 38.9% 23.1% 6.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.6% 8.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.9% · Draw 47.4% · Away win 34.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1