NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Samson Siasia Sports Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.43) 2.21 (league 0.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 19.9% 58.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ikorodu City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayelsa United 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.3% 1.5%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.2% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack40%60%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayelsa United Ikorodu City
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%33%0%17%
Draws0%33%17%67%67%67%
Loses67%33%50%0%33%17%

Form: Bayelsa United: WWLLLD • Ikorodu City: DDDWLD

League goals

Metric Bayelsa United Ikorodu City
HATHAT
GF total325336
GF avg1.00.70.81.01.01.0
GA total426156
GA avg1.30.71.00.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%50%
1.517%33%33%17%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
Wins21
Draws03
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-0—
Biggest losses0-21-0—4-2
Goals For2122
Goals Against2114

Model comparison

MetricBayelsa UnitedIkorodu City
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ikorodu City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bayelsa United = 1.19 (league 1.43), Ikorodu City = 2.21 (league 0.59)

Ikorodu City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayelsa United 0 3.4% 7.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.3% 1.5%
1 4.0% 8.8% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.4% 5.2% 5.8% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 58.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1