NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:00 • El-Kanemi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.43) 0.15 (league 0.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 52.1% 8.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
47.8%
1 - 0
28.0%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Kanemi Warriors 0 47.8% 7.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack27%55%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Kwara United
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%0%33%67%0%33%
Draws33%17%25%17%67%42%
Loses0%83%42%17%33%25%

Form: El Kanemi Warriors: WDDLWLWLWLDL • Kwara United: DLWDWLLDWDWD

League goals

Metric El Kanemi Warriors Kwara United
HATHAT
GF total7298210
GF avg1.20.30.81.30.30.8
GA total2911347
GA avg0.31.50.90.50.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%58%50%58%
1.525%25%25%0%
2.50%8%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
HATHAT
Clean sheets415325
Failed to score246246

Penalties

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-1—
Biggest losses—3-10-11-0
Goals For2131
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricEl Kanemi WarriorsKwara United
Form31%69%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kwara United and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): El Kanemi Warriors = 0.59 (league 1.43), Kwara United = 0.15 (league 0.59)

Kwara United
0 1 2 3 4 5
El Kanemi Warriors 0 47.8% 7.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 52.1% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1