Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.25) 0.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 43.7% 5.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.4%
1 - 0
31.5%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 39.4% 5.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Played44
Form58%25%
Attack45%9%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.31 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins50%50%50%0%0%0%
Draws50%0%25%67%100%75%
Loses0%50%25%33%0%25%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDL • Neftchi Baku: DDLD

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total415101
GF avg2.00.51.30.30.00.3
GA total112202
GA avg0.50.50.50.70.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%25%50%
1.525%0%0%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Wins20
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-1
Biggest losses1-00-1
Goals For3110
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtNeftchi Baku
Form70%30%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sumqayıt or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Betano
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 0.80 (league 1.25), Neftchi Baku = 0.13 (league 1.15)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 39.4% 5.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.5% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 43.7% · Away win 5.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1