Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 15:00 • Az?rsun Arena
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.22) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 42.9% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 31.6% 19.6% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagQabala
Played45
Form58%27%
Attack53%40%
Defense87%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.56 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Qabala
HATHAT
Played224235
Wins0%100%50%50%0%20%
Draws50%0%25%0%33%20%
Loses50%0%25%50%67%60%

Form: Qarabag: LWDW • Qabala: DLLLW

League goals

Metric Qarabag Qabala
HATHAT
GF total178426
GF avg0.53.52.02.00.71.2
GA total202246
GA avg1.00.00.51.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagQabala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%80%80%
1.550%0%20%40%
2.525%0%20%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagQabala
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricQarabagQabala
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricQarabagQabala
Wins10
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-53-0—
Biggest losses0-1—1-22-1
Goals For1531
Goals Against1022

Model comparison

MetricQarabagQabala
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h93%7%
Goals81%19%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ 188Bet
Draw8.44 @ Pinnacle
Away19.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 0.53 (league 1.22), Qabala = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 31.6% 19.6% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 42.9% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1