Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.22) 0.40 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.3% 57.8% 26.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
52.5%
0 - 1
20.9%
1 - 0
12.9%
Zira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 52.5% 20.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanZira
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack33%73%
Defense93%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Zira
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%100%60%67%50%60%
Draws33%0%20%33%50%40%
Loses33%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWW • Zira: DWWDW

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Zira
HATHAT
GF total1458311
GF avg0.32.01.02.71.52.2
GA total101224
GA avg0.30.00.20.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanZira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%20%100%80%
1.520%0%60%0%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanZira
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score202000

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanZira
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanZira
Wins02
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-35-01-2
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For1352
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanZira
Form48%52%
Att31%69%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zira and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.70 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away1.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.79 @ Pinnacle
No1.59 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 0.25 (league 1.22), Zira = 0.40 (league 1.13)

Zira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 52.5% 20.9% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 57.8% · Away win 26.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1