Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 13:00 • Nakhchivan City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.24 (league 1.23) 5.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 1.0% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 5
13.6%
0 - 4
12.7%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 0.4% 2.0% 5.3% 9.5% 12.7% 13.6%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.3%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArazMil-Muğan
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack78%67%
Defense11%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Araz Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
Played246426
Wins50%50%50%25%100%50%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses50%0%17%25%0%17%

Form: Araz: DWWWLD • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWD

League goals

Metric Araz Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
GF total268246
GF avg1.01.51.30.52.01.0
GA total639202
GA avg3.00.81.50.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArazMil-Muğan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%33%
1.550%17%17%0%
2.50%17%17%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArazMil-Muğan
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricArazMil-Muğan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArazMil-Muğan
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-21-00-3
Biggest losses0-50-1
Goals For2213
Goals Against5110

Model comparison

MetricArazMil-Muğan
Form48%52%
Att54%46%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h91%9%
Goals100%0%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Araz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 888Sport
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Araz = 0.24 (league 1.23), Mil-Muğan = 5.36 (league 1.12)

Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 0.4% 2.0% 5.3% 9.5% 12.7% 13.6%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 3.3%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 1.0% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1