Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 15:30 • Zira Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.22) 0.62 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 40.3% 28.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 27.7% 17.2% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZiraNeftchi Baku
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%22%
Defense56%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zira Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins67%33%50%0%50%17%
Draws33%67%50%75%50%67%
Loses0%0%0%25%0%17%

Form: Zira: DWWDWD • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWD

League goals

Metric Zira Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total8412123
GF avg2.71.32.00.31.00.5
GA total235202
GA avg0.71.00.80.50.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZiraNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%83%33%33%
1.550%0%17%0%
2.517%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZiraNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricZiraNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricZiraNeftchi Baku
Wins21
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-2—0-2
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For5212
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricZiraNeftchi Baku
Form65%35%
Att85%15%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h60%40%
Goals61%39%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Zira and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Superbet
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zira = 0.66 (league 1.22), Neftchi Baku = 0.62 (league 1.13)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 27.7% 17.2% 5.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 40.3% · Away win 28.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1