Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.22) 1.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 25.8% 34.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.4%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 6.7% 8.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtKarvan
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack14%0%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.40 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Karvan
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins25%33%29%0%33%14%
Draws25%33%29%25%33%29%
Loses50%33%43%75%33%57%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDL • Karvan: DWLLLDL

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Karvan
HATHAT
GF total426134
GF avg1.00.70.90.31.00.6
GA total6288513
GA avg1.50.71.12.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtKarvan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%29%86%
1.514%29%14%71%
2.514%14%14%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtKarvan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score213325

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtKarvan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtKarvan
Wins21
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-3
Biggest losses0-31-00-33-0
Goals For3113
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtKarvan
Form67%33%
Att100%0%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Sumqayıt or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away6.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 1.39 (league 1.22), Karvan = 1.30 (league 1.15)

Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 6.7% 8.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.4% 12.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 34.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1