Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:30 • Neftci Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.23) 0.67 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 47.8% 42.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
42.1%
0 - 1
28.2%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 42.1% 28.2% 9.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchi BakuAraz
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack20%35%
Defense85%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Baku Araz
HATHAT
Played437347
Wins0%33%14%67%50%57%
Draws75%67%71%0%50%29%
Loses25%0%14%33%0%14%

Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDD • Araz: DWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Neftchi Baku Araz
HATHAT
GF total1454610
GF avg0.31.30.71.31.51.4
GA total224639
GA avg0.50.70.62.00.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchi BakuAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%43%86%71%
1.529%14%57%14%
2.50%0%0%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchi BakuAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricNeftchi BakuAraz
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNeftchi BakuAraz
Wins13
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-1—0-5—
Goals For1222
Goals Against1251

Model comparison

MetricNeftchi BakuAraz
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h38%62%
Goals55%45%
Total42.7%57.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Araz and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ SBO
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away5.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 0.20 (league 1.23), Araz = 0.67 (league 1.12)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 42.1% 28.2% 9.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 47.8% · Away win 42.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1