Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.26) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 31.1% 45.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 15.4% 17.7% 10.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.1% 12.8% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%40%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qabala Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%0%13%0%33%13%
Draws0%40%25%80%67%75%
Loses67%60%63%20%0%13%

Form: Qabala: DLLLWLLD • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDD

League goals

Metric Qabala Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total448347
GF avg1.30.81.00.61.30.9
GA total3811426
GA avg1.01.61.40.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQabalaNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%50%50%
1.525%50%38%25%
2.513%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Wins11
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0——0-2
Biggest losses1-22-00-1—
Goals For3222
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Form36%64%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi Baku

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.61 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away1.85 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qabala = 0.72 (league 1.26), Neftchi Baku = 1.15 (league 1.13)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 15.4% 17.7% 10.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.1% 12.8% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1