Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:30 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.22) 0.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.9% 39.5% 18.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.3%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Keshla FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 28.3% 12.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagKeshla FC
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack73%47%
Defense87%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Keshla FC
HATHAT
Played437448
Wins50%100%71%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%14%25%50%38%
Loses25%0%14%50%25%38%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWW • Keshla FC: DLDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Qarabag Keshla FC
HATHAT
GF total49136410
GF avg1.03.01.91.51.01.3
GA total2137411
GA avg0.50.30.41.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagKeshla FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%100%75%
1.557%0%13%38%
2.514%0%13%13%
3.514%0%0%13%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagKeshla FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricQarabagKeshla FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricQarabagKeshla FC
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-53-00-1
Biggest losses0-1—1-42-1
Goals For2531
Goals Against1142

Model comparison

MetricQarabagKeshla FC
Form65%35%
Att61%39%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total70.6%29.4%

Advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Betano
Draw6.40 @ 188Bet
Away12.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 0.82 (league 1.22), Keshla FC = 0.44 (league 1.13)

Keshla FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 28.3% 12.5% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 39.5% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1