Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.22) 2.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.8% 11.0% 76.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.1%
0 - 3
12.6%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kapaz 0 3.2% 9.1% 13.1% 12.6% 9.1% 5.2%
1 1.8% 5.2% 7.5% 7.2% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKapazMil-Muğan
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack21%37%
Defense47%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kapaz Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
Played268538
Wins0%17%13%20%67%38%
Draws0%0%0%60%0%38%
Loses100%83%88%20%33%25%

Form: Kapaz: LLLLLLLW • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Kapaz Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
GF total246448
GF avg1.00.70.80.81.31.0
GA total51621426
GA avg2.52.72.60.80.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKapazMil-Muğan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%100%63%50%
1.525%75%25%25%
2.513%63%13%0%
3.513%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKapazMil-Muğan
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score156213

Penalties

MetricKapazMil-Muğan
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricKapazMil-Muğan
Wins03
Draws01
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-41-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-12-0
Goals For2423
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricKapazMil-Muğan
Form27%73%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Winner : Mil-Muğan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kapaz = 0.57 (league 1.22), Mil-Muğan = 2.88 (league 1.13)

Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kapaz 0 3.2% 9.1% 13.1% 12.6% 9.1% 5.2%
1 1.8% 5.2% 7.5% 7.2% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 76.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1