Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Neftci Arena
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.22)
0.50 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.3% | 28.6% | 13.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Kapaz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi Baku | 0 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 80% | 40% |
| Defense | 60% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 17% | 11% |
| Draws | 80% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 11% | 100% | 83% | 89% |
Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDW • Kapaz: LLLLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 44% | 22% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 22% | 22% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Kapaz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 71.0% | 29.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Neftchi Baku or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 1.33 (league 1.22), Kapaz = 0.50 (league 1.13)
| Kapaz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi Baku | 0 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 13.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1