Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 •
Quba OIK stadionu
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.22)
0.64 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.3% | 46.5% | 37.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.1%
0 - 1
24.3%
1 - 0
12.5%
| Mil-Muğan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qarabag | 0 | 38.1% | 24.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 90% |
| Defense | 90% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 100% | 63% | 20% | 75% | 44% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 25% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 20% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWD • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 38% | 67% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Qarabag | Mil-Muğan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Qarabag or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 0.33 (league 1.22), Mil-Muğan = 0.64 (league 1.13)
| Mil-Muğan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Qarabag | 0 | 38.1% | 24.3% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 46.5% · Away win 37.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1