Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:30 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.22) 1.95 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 22.0% 50.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.4% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack31%44%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Araz
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins40%25%33%50%40%44%
Draws20%25%22%25%60%44%
Loses40%50%44%25%0%11%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWL • Araz: DWWWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Araz
HATHAT
GF total82106814
GF avg1.60.51.11.51.61.6
GA total73108513
GA avg1.40.81.12.01.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%89%78%
1.522%22%67%33%
2.522%11%0%11%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-31-00-5
Goals For4122
Goals Against3152

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtAraz
Form40%60%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Araz

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ 1xBet
Draw3.02 @ Pinnacle
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 1.31 (league 1.22), Araz = 1.95 (league 1.15)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 3.8% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
1 5.0% 9.8% 9.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.4% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 50.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1