Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 15:00 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.23) 3.91 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 4.7% 73.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 4
12.6%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 1.3% 5.1% 9.9% 12.9% 12.6% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.3% 5.6% 5.5% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtQarabag
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack82%64%
Defense36%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Qarabag
HATHAT
Played65117310
Wins50%40%45%57%100%70%
Draws17%20%18%29%0%20%
Loses33%40%36%14%0%10%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWLWW • Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total114158917
GF avg1.80.81.41.13.01.7
GA total9312213
GA avg1.50.61.10.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%80%30%
1.536%27%60%0%
2.527%9%10%0%
3.59%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets123527
Failed to score224202

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtQarabag
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtQarabag
Wins24
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-5
Biggest losses0-31-00-1
Goals For4225
Goals Against3111

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtQarabag
Form41%59%
Att56%44%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h20%80%
Goals9%91%
Total25.0%75.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.80 @ 188Bet
Draw4.40 @ 188Bet
Away1.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 0.44 (league 1.23), Qarabag = 3.91 (league 1.15)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 1.3% 5.1% 9.9% 12.9% 12.6% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.3% 5.6% 5.5% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 73.8%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1