Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.23) 1.04 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 30.1% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Turan 0 12.5% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTuranNeftchi Baku
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack43%79%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Turan Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%57%58%14%40%25%
Draws0%29%17%57%40%50%
Loses40%14%25%29%20%25%

Form: Turan: WLWWLWWLWWDD • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Turan Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total881610616
GF avg1.61.11.31.41.21.3
GA total5498412
GA avg1.00.60.81.10.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTuranNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%58%58%
1.533%25%50%33%
2.517%0%8%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTuranNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets246235
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricTuranNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricTuranNeftchi Baku
Wins22
Draws03
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-02-32-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricTuranNeftchi Baku
Form53%47%
Att35%65%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Turan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away2.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Turan = 1.04 (league 1.23), Neftchi Baku = 1.04 (league 1.15)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Turan 0 12.5% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1