Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 16:00 • Bank Respublika Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.21) 0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 45.7% 12.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
1 - 0
26.7%
0 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabah FA 0 38.3% 10.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSabah FANeftchi Baku
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack69%69%
Defense77%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sabah FA Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins50%67%58%14%33%23%
Draws33%33%33%57%50%54%
Loses17%0%8%29%17%23%

Form: Sabah FA: WLDWDWWDWWDW • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLD

League goals

Metric Sabah FA Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total7121910616
GF avg1.22.01.61.41.01.2
GA total2468412
GA avg0.30.70.51.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSabah FANeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%42%54%54%
1.558%8%46%31%
2.525%0%8%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSabah FANeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets437246
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricSabah FANeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSabah FANeftchi Baku
Wins22
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-1—2-32-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricSabah FANeftchi Baku
Form61%39%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total64.5%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sabah FA or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sabah FA = 0.70 (league 1.21), Neftchi Baku = 0.26 (league 1.14)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sabah FA 0 38.3% 10.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 45.7% · Away win 12.5%

vtt 6 , vtd1