Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 15:00 • Neftci Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.21) 0.96 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 33.0% 37.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sumqayıt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 17.0% 16.3% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack44%63%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Baku Sumqayıt
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins14%29%21%50%50%50%
Draws57%43%50%13%17%14%
Loses29%29%29%38%33%36%

Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDL • Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Neftchi Baku Sumqayıt
HATHAT
GF total1061614620
GF avg1.40.91.11.81.01.4
GA total861413417
GA avg1.10.91.01.60.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%57%71%71%
1.543%36%43%29%
2.57%7%21%14%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score347224

Penalties

MetricNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
Wins22
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-31-0
Goals For5242
Goals Against3241

Model comparison

MetricNeftchi BakuSumqayıt
Form25%75%
Att41%59%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sumqayıt

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 188Bet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 0.81 (league 1.21), Sumqayıt = 0.96 (league 1.14)

Sumqayıt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 17.0% 16.3% 7.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.8% 13.3% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 37.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1