Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 10:00 • Yevlakh City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.25) 1.81 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.1% 20.7% 70.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karvan 0 10.7% 19.3% 17.4% 10.5% 4.7% 1.7%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarvanNeftchi Baku
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack18%24%
Defense41%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karvan Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins0%14%7%13%29%20%
Draws13%29%20%63%43%53%
Loses88%57%73%25%29%27%

Form: Karvan: DWLLLDLLLLLLLLD • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDLD

League goals

Metric Karvan Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total561112618
GF avg0.60.90.71.50.91.2
GA total18143210616
GA avg2.32.02.11.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarvanNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%93%53%60%
1.513%80%47%40%
2.57%33%7%7%
3.50%7%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarvanNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets011246
Failed to score437347

Penalties

MetricKarvanNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricKarvanNeftchi Baku
Wins12
Draws13
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-35-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-12-32-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricKarvanNeftchi Baku
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi Baku

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.84 @ Pinnacle
Away1.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 1xBet
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karvan = 0.43 (league 1.25), Neftchi Baku = 1.81 (league 1.15)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karvan 0 10.7% 19.3% 17.4% 10.5% 4.7% 1.7%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 1.0% 1.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.1% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 70.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1