Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:30 • Zira Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.25) 0.68 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 29.3% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.3% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZiraMil-Muğan
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense79%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zira Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins50%43%47%14%50%33%
Draws50%29%40%57%0%27%
Loses0%29%13%29%50%40%

Form: Zira: DWWDWDDLWWDWWDL • Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Zira Mil-Muğan
HATHAT
GF total13102351015
GF avg1.61.41.50.71.31.0
GA total510158816
GA avg0.61.41.01.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZiraMil-Muğan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%67%53%67%
1.540%27%27%33%
2.513%7%20%7%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZiraMil-Muğan
HATHAT
Clean sheets415235
Failed to score112347

Penalties

MetricZiraMil-Muğan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricZiraMil-Muğan
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-21-00-3
Biggest losses3-00-32-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricZiraMil-Muğan
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Zira or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Betfair
Away7.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zira = 1.28 (league 1.25), Mil-Muğan = 0.68 (league 1.15)

Mil-Muğan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.3% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1