Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 10:30 • Quba OIK stadionu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.27) 1.42 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 26.6% 45.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanAraz
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack33%58%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Araz
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins14%44%31%63%25%44%
Draws57%11%31%25%38%31%
Loses29%44%38%13%38%25%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWLLDD • Araz: DWWWLDWDDLWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Araz
HATHAT
GF total51015131225
GF avg0.71.10.91.61.51.6
GA total8816101525
GA avg1.10.91.01.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%94%75%
1.525%31%63%38%
2.519%6%0%19%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets246314
Failed to score358101

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanAraz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanAraz
Wins33
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-55-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanAraz
Form42%58%
Att36%64%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Araz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 1.05 (league 1.27), Araz = 1.42 (league 1.16)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 8.4% 12.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.9% 12.6% 9.0% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 45.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1