Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:30 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.27) 0.56 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 43.0% 27.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Turan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 31.6% 17.7% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagTuran
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack53%35%
Defense59%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Turan
HATHAT
Played107178816
Wins60%71%65%50%63%56%
Draws20%14%18%13%25%19%
Loses20%14%18%38%13%25%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWL • Turan: WLWWLWWLWWDDDLWW

League goals

Metric Qarabag Turan
HATHAT
GF total151732111021
GF avg1.52.41.91.41.31.3
GA total57129413
GA avg0.51.00.71.10.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagTuran
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%53%81%50%
1.559%18%38%25%
2.518%0%13%6%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.512%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagTuran
HATHAT
Clean sheets628358
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricQarabagTuran
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricQarabagTuran
Wins42
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-53-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-32-0
Goals For5533
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricQarabagTuran
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals58%42%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 0.59 (league 1.27), Turan = 0.56 (league 1.16)

Turan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 31.6% 17.7% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 27.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1