Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 15:00 • Neftci Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.21) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 28.6% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 11.5% 10.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchi BakuQabala
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack67%83%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Baku Qabala
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins11%44%28%38%11%24%
Draws67%33%50%0%22%12%
Loses22%22%22%63%67%65%

Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDLDWDW • Qabala: DLLLWLLDLLLLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Neftchi Baku Qabala
HATHAT
GF total12122410818
GF avg1.31.31.31.30.91.1
GA total10717121123
GA avg1.10.80.91.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchi BakuQabala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%53%88%
1.550%33%29%47%
2.511%6%18%0%
3.511%0%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchi BakuQabala
HATHAT
Clean sheets358112
Failed to score448358

Penalties

MetricNeftchi BakuQabala
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricNeftchi BakuQabala
Wins21
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-00-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-22-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricNeftchi BakuQabala
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total60.0%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Neftchi Baku or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 1.29 (league 1.21), Qabala = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Qabala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 11.5% 10.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.9% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 25.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1