Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 15:00 •
Neftci Arena
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.27)
0.82 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.6% | 29.5% | 24.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Qabala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi Baku | 0 | 12.8% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 67% | 83% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 11% | 44% | 28% | 38% | 11% | 24% |
| Draws | 67% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 22% | 12% |
| Loses | 22% | 22% | 22% | 63% | 67% | 65% |
Neftchi BakuDDLDWDDDWWLLDLDWDW
QabalaDLLLWLLDLLLLWLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi Baku | Qabala | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 56% | 53% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 33% | 29% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Qabala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 91% | 9% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.73 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings
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