Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 10:30 • Quba OIK stadionu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.21) 1.02 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 23.2% 21.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kapaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 6.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMil-MuğanKapaz
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack26%16%
Defense63%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mil-Muğan Kapaz
HATHAT
Played8101881018
Wins13%40%28%13%30%22%
Draws63%10%33%0%0%0%
Loses25%50%39%88%70%78%

Form: Mil-Muğan: LDWWWDLDWLLWLLDDDL • Kapaz: LLLLLLLWLLLWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Mil-Muğan Kapaz
HATHAT
GF total712194913
GF avg0.91.21.10.50.90.7
GA total101121172441
GA avg1.31.11.22.12.42.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMil-MuğanKapaz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%39%89%
1.533%39%22%72%
2.517%11%6%44%
3.50%0%6%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMil-MuğanKapaz
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score3585611

Penalties

MetricMil-MuğanKapaz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMil-MuğanKapaz
Wins31
Draws30
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-31-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-00-35-0
Goals For2324
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricMil-MuğanKapaz
Form33%67%
Att63%38%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total49.7%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Mil-Muğan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mil-Muğan = 1.79 (league 1.21), Kapaz = 1.02 (league 1.14)

Kapaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mil-Muğan 0 6.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.0% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 21.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1