Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:15 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
6 - 0
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.22) 0.93 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 16.5% 12.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 9.4% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagAraz
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%29%
Defense57%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Araz
HATHAT
Played12921111122
Wins58%78%67%55%27%41%
Draws25%11%19%18%36%27%
Loses17%11%14%27%36%32%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWLWWWD • Araz: DWWWLDWDDLWDLWLWDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Qarabag Araz
HATHAT
GF total192039141731
GF avg1.62.21.91.31.51.4
GA total8816152136
GA avg0.70.90.81.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagAraz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%52%86%73%
1.557%19%55%41%
2.519%5%0%23%
3.514%0%0%18%
4.510%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagAraz
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310426
Failed to score303303

Penalties

MetricQarabagAraz
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricQarabagAraz
Wins43
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-52-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-55-1
Goals For5522
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricQarabagAraz
Form63%38%
Att64%36%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%12%
Total71.7%28.5%

Advice: Double chance : Qarabag or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw6.10 @ 188Bet
Away11.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 2.49 (league 1.22), Araz = 0.93 (league 1.13)

Araz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 3.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 9.4% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 12.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1