Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 16:30 •
Palms Sports Arena
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.21)
1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7% | 33.7% | 47.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.4%
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Turan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi Baku | 0 | 20.4% | 21.4% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 73% |
| Attack | 77% | 46% |
| Defense | 77% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 20% | 45% | 33% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Draws | 60% | 36% | 48% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 18% | 19% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDLDWDWWWD • Turan: WLWWLWWLWWDDDLWWLWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Neftchi Baku | Turan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 57% | 73% | 41% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 33% | 36% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 5% | 14% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Neftchi Baku | Turan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.4% | 50.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Turan and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 0.54 (league 1.21), Turan = 1.05 (league 1.14)
| Turan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Neftchi Baku | 0 | 20.4% | 21.4% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.0% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.7% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 47.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1