Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 14:30 • Liv Bona Dea Arena
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.27) 0.84 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 21.2% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 6.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArazKarvan
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack21%11%
Defense42%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Araz Karvan
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%25%39%0%9%4%
Draws18%33%26%17%27%22%
Loses27%42%35%83%64%74%

Form: Araz: DWWWLDWDDLWDLWLWDLLWWLL • Karvan: DWLLLDLLLLLLLLDLLLLLLDD

League goals

Metric Araz Karvan
HATHAT
GF total1417317815
GF avg1.31.41.30.60.70.7
GA total152742252146
GA avg1.42.31.82.11.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArazKarvan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%74%52%96%
1.552%43%9%70%
2.50%26%4%26%
3.50%22%0%9%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArazKarvan
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score3146511

Penalties

MetricArazKarvan
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricArazKarvan
Wins31
Draws21
Losses28

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2—2-3
Biggest losses0-56-00-34-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against5634

Model comparison

MetricArazKarvan
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Araz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away6.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Araz = 1.95 (league 1.27), Karvan = 0.84 (league 1.16)

Karvan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 6.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 10.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 15.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1