Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 14:30 •
Liv Bona Dea Arena
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.27)
0.82 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.2% | 21.2% | 15.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Karvan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Araz | 0 | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Araz | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 21% | 11% |
| Defense | 42% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Araz | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 55% | 25% | 39% | 0% | 9% | 4% |
| Draws | 18% | 33% | 26% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 83% | 64% | 74% |
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KarvanDWLLLDLLLLLLLLDLLLLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Araz | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 17 | 31 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 27 | 42 | 25 | 21 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Araz | Karvan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 74% | 52% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 43% | 9% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 26% | 4% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Araz | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Araz | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Araz | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Araz | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away6.45 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…