Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.24) 1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.3% 21.0% 64.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
0 - 2
13.1%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 7.1% 13.6% 13.1% 8.4% 4.0% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack11%56%
Defense33%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qabala Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins27%8%17%18%45%32%
Draws9%25%17%55%36%45%
Loses64%67%65%27%18%23%

Form: Qabala: DLLLWLLDLLLLWLLWWLLDLDL • Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDLDWDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Qabala Neftchi Baku
HATHAT
GF total11920131730
GF avg1.00.80.91.21.51.4
GA total171936111021
GA avg1.51.61.61.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQabalaNeftchi Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%87%59%59%
1.522%43%50%32%
2.513%9%14%5%
3.54%4%9%0%
4.50%4%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets123459
Failed to score5712549

Penalties

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Wins23
Draws13
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-45-10-4
Biggest losses0-37-12-32-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against3732

Model comparison

MetricQabalaNeftchi Baku
Form17%83%
Att17%83%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total19.4%80.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Neftchi Baku

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qabala = 0.73 (league 1.24), Neftchi Baku = 1.92 (league 1.17)

Neftchi Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 7.1% 13.6% 13.1% 8.4% 4.0% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.5% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 64.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1