Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 16:30 • Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.27) 1.32 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 28.4% 47.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Keshla FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 11.7% 15.4% 10.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSumqayıtKeshla FC
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack14%14%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sumqayıt Keshla FC
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%33%35%25%27%26%
Draws18%25%22%33%45%39%
Loses45%42%43%42%27%35%

Form: Sumqayıt: WWDLLDLWLWWLWWDLLWLLDLD • Keshla FC: DLDWLDWLDLWDLWWLLWLDDDD

League goals

Metric Sumqayıt Keshla FC
HATHAT
GF total171229131023
GF avg1.51.01.31.10.91.0
GA total19133218826
GA avg1.71.11.41.50.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSumqayıtKeshla FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%74%70%57%
1.539%39%22%39%
2.513%22%9%9%
3.54%4%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSumqayıtKeshla FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets3364610
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricSumqayıtKeshla FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSumqayıtKeshla FC
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-42-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricSumqayıtKeshla FC
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Keshla FC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sumqayıt = 0.83 (league 1.27), Keshla FC = 1.32 (league 1.16)

Keshla FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sumqayıt 0 11.7% 15.4% 10.2% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 47.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1